Theoretical Physics Colloquium

The IISc-TIFR agent-based city simulator for the study of COVID-19 spread

by Prof. Prahladh Harsha (TIFR)

Tuesday, June 23, 2020 from to (Asia/Kolkata)
at Zoom
Description
Over the last few months, since the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, several epidemiological models have been proposed to understand the spread of the infection in the population. In this talk, we will provide an overview of the agent-based models and compare their pros-and-cons against other models. We will argue that agent-based models let one capture detailed interactions at a granular level and can thus be useful in comparing the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions against each other.

We will then present the IISc-TIFR agent-based city simulator developed for studying the spread of the COVID-19 infection in the cities of Mumbai and Bengaluru under  various "unlocking" strategies. We will conclude with a presentation of the simulator's estimates for the infection-spread in Mumbai under different lockdown-relaxation scenarios; containment strategies, phased opening of workplaces, gradual resumption of train services, importance of compliance.